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Contracts tracked for the listed subjects. Each row is the lead contract for one occurrence at one source; when that occurrence has more contracts, the row says 1 of N, each in its own wording. This is evidence, not the next-rewrite shortlist on the home page.
20 contract groups without a result.
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
KalshiFed maintains rate 93%Hike 25bps 6% · Cut >25bps 1% · Cut 25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
Which party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiDemocratic Party 91.5%Republican Party 8.2%
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
KalshiDemocratic Party 68%Republican Party 32%
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
KalshiHike 25bps 72%Fed maintains rate 25% · Hike >25bps 4% · Cut >25bps 1% · Cut 25bps 1%
2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
KalshiJ.D. Vance 19%Gavin Newsom 11% · Marco Rubio 9.9% · 29 other outcomes
European Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiMaintain current rate 97%Hike 1-25bps 3% · Cut more than 25bps 1% · Cut 1-25bps 1% · Hike more than 25bps 1%
CPI YoY in November
KalshiAbove 3.9% 44%Other outcomes · Above 3.3% (99%) is priced above Above 3.2% (98%)
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 60%Hike 25bps 30% · Cut 25bps 9% · Hike >25bps 5% · Cut >25bps 1%
CPI YoY in December
KalshiAbove 3.8% 50%Other outcomes · Above 3.3% (95%) is priced above Above 3.2% (92%)
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
KalshiHike 25bps 53%Cut 25bps 35% · Fed maintains rate 35% · Cut >25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Oct 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 79%Cut 25bps 7% · Hike 25bps 4% · Cut >25bps 2% · Hike >25bps 2%
European Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiHike 1-25bps 79%Maintain current rate 20% · Cut more than 25bps 1% · Cut 1-25bps 1% · Hike more than 25bps 1%
2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)
KalshiDemocratic party 59%Republican party 40%
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 58%Cut 25bps 25% · Hike 25bps 9% · Hike >25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Jul 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 77%Hike 25bps 15% · Cut >25bps 6% · Cut 25bps 5% · Hike >25bps 1%
Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?
KalshiRepublican party 53%Democratic party 47%
Fed decision in Sep 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 85%Hike 25bps 11% · Hike >25bps 6% · Cut 25bps 4% · Cut >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
KalshiHike 25bps 51%Other outcomes · Fed maintains rate (61%) is priced above Hike >25bps (1%)
Fed decision in Jun 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 62%Hike 25bps 35% · Cut >25bps 6% · Cut 25bps 4% · Hike >25bps 3%
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
KalshiFed maintains rate 62%Hike >25bps 22% · Cut 25bps 8% · Cut >25bps 4% · Hike 25bps 4%