KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Sep 26, 2025

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Current Hike 25bps

72%

24h -4.0 pp · 24h Vol $24K · last reading · 47d left

Hike 25bps72%
Fed maintains rate26%
Hike >25bps4%
Cut >25bps1%
Cut 25bps1%

Path · Hike 25bps

Daily close 75% · Oct 22, 2026 · 362 bars. Latest stored probability is 72%, last reading .

Reading

On Kalshi, the implied probability for Hike 25bps on “Fed decision in Dec 2026?” moved -4.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 72%. 47d left. 24h evidence volume about $24K. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on December 09, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

View source data

Financial data only. Not a prediction market. No trading.