KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Sep 26, 2025

Fed decision in Jan 2027?

60%

Path · Fed maintains rate

0%25%50%75%100%9/30/254/9/2610/21/26
Daily close 53% · Oct 21, 2026 · 381 bars. Latest stored probability is 60%, .

Reading

On Kalshi, the implied probability for Fed maintains rate on “Fed decision in Jan 2027?” moved +7.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 60%. 98d left. 24h evidence volume about $732. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on January 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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