European Central Bank rate decision in October

• Maintain current rate98%
• Hike 1-25bps2%
• Cut more than 25bps1%
• Cut 1-25bps1%
• Hike more than 25bps1%

Path · Maintain current rate

Reading

On Kalshi, the implied probability for Maintain current rate on “European Central Bank rate decision in October” moved +1.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 98%. 5d left. 24h evidence volume about $196. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at October ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.