KalshiPresidential electionPoliticsListed May 15, 2026
Current Republican party
47%24h 0.0 pp · · 2567d left · Nov 2, 2033
- Republican party47%
- Democratic party46%
Path
Current probability only
Reading
On Kalshi, the current implied probability for Republican party on “Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election?” is about 47%. 2568d left · Nov 2, 2033. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.
Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes.