KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Oct 2, 2025

Fed decision in Oct 2027?

79%

Path · Fed maintains rate

0%25%50%75%100%10/7/254/4/2610/18/26
Daily close 88% · Oct 18, 2026 · 323 bars. Latest stored probability is 79%, .

Reading

On Kalshi, the implied probability for Fed maintains rate on “Fed decision in Oct 2027?” moved +2.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 79%. 368d left. 24h evidence volume about $13. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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