KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Oct 2, 2025

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

77%

Path · Fed maintains rate

0%25%50%75%100%10/7/254/24/2610/20/26
Daily close 79% · Oct 20, 2026 · 338 bars. Latest stored probability is 77%, .

Reading

On Kalshi, the current implied probability for Fed maintains rate on “Fed decision in Jul 2027?” is about 77%. 278d left. 24h evidence volume about $71. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 28, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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