Federal Reserve
Later rewritesFed decision, October 2026
Observed · FRED3.88%Effective federal funds rate · Oct 21, 2026 · daily
Forecast · Kalshi92%
Fed maintains rate
Next rewrites
The next rewrite for each listed subject. Each figure is one occurrence from one source — not a fused subject probability.
48 source readings across the listed subjects, one per source on an occurrence. Search tracked contracts
Now
One nearest dated occurrence per listed subject. Later dates live on the subject page.
European Central Bank
Later rewritesECB decision, October 2026
Observed · FRED2.50%ECB deposit facility rate · Oct 23, 2026 · daily
Forecast · Kalshi98%
Maintain current rate
US CPI
Later rewritesUS CPI YoY, October 2026
Observed · FRED3.74%US CPI YoY (CPI-U, NSA) · Sep 2026 · monthly
Forecast · Polymarket89%
3.7%
US federal elections
Later rewritesUS Senate control, 2026 election
Forecast · Polymarket67.5%
Democratic Party
Bitcoin
Later rewritesBitcoin price on October 24, 2026
Observed · Binance$81,478BTC/USDT daily close · Oct 23, 2026 · dailyLatest $80,772 ·
Forecast · Polymarket92.5%
80,000-82,000
Ethereum
Later rewritesEthereum price on October 24, 2026
Observed · Binance$2,402ETH/USDT daily close · Oct 23, 2026 · dailyLatest $2,379 ·
Forecast · Polymarket85%
2,300-2,400