KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Sep 26, 2025
Current Fed maintains rate
92%24h -1.0 pp · 24h Vol $623K · · 4d left
- Fed maintains rate92%
- Hike 25bps8%
- Cut >25bps1%
- Cut 25bps1%
- Hike >25bps1%
Path · Fed maintains rate
Reading
On Kalshi, the implied probability for Fed maintains rate on “Fed decision in Oct 2026?” moved -1.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 92%. 4d left. 24h evidence volume about $623K. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.
Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.