2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

• J.D. Vance21%
• Gavin Newsom12%
• Marco Rubio10%
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez9.3%
• Jon Ossoff8.4%
• Kamala Harris3.8%
• Pete Buttigieg2.8%
• Ron DeSantis2.7%
• Josh Shapiro2.6%
• Andy Beshear2.6%
• Donald J. Trump2.5%
• Mark Kelly2.5%
• Rahm Emanuel2%
• J.B. Pritzker1.6%
• Wes Moore1.4%
• Jamie Dimon1%
• Thomas Massie1%
• James Talarico1%
• Hunter Biden1%
• Ro Khanna1%
• Ted Cruz1%
• Doug Burgum1%
• Brian Kemp1%
• Tucker Carlson0.9%
• Tulsi Gabbard0.8%
• Glenn Youngkin0.8%
• Gretchen Whitmer0.7%
• Donald J. Trump Jr.0.7%
• Stephen A. Smith0.5%
• Nikki Haley0.5%
• Roy Cooper0.5%
• Greg Abbott0.2%
• Vivek Ramaswamy0.1%
• Tim Walz0.1%

Path · J.D. Vance

Reading

On Kalshi, the implied probability for J.D. Vance on “2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?” moved +1.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 21%. 1111d left · Nov 7, 2029. 24h evidence volume about $501K. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If Wes Moore is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.