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Contracts tracked for the listed subjects. Each row is the lead contract for one occurrence at one source; when that occurrence has more contracts, the row says 1 of N, each in its own wording. This is evidence, not the next-rewrite shortlist on the home page.

Fed Decision in October?

Polymarket
Fed decision, October 2026
No change 93.5%25 bps increase 6.5%
24h —24h Vol $3.9M5d left

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Polymarket
US Senate control, 2026 election
Democratic Party 67.5%Republican Party 32.5%
24h -1.0 pp24h Vol $891K11d left · Nov 4, 20261 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Polymarket
US House control, 2026 election
Democratic Party 91.5%Republican Party 8%
24h -1.0 pp24h Vol $593K11d left · Nov 4, 2026

Bitcoin price on October 24?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price on October 24, 2026
80,000-82,000 91.5%78,000-80,000 5.9% · 82,000-84,000 1.3%
24h +46.0 pp24h Vol $55KDue today1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Fed decision in Oct 2026?

Kalshi
Fed decision, October 2026
Fed maintains rate 92%Hike 25bps 8% · Cut >25bps 1% · Cut 25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
24h -1.0 pp24h Vol $623K4d left

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price reached in October 2026
↑ 82,500 61%Other outcomes
24h -0.1 pp24h Vol $249K8d left · Nov 1, 2026

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Kalshi
US House control, 2026 election
Democratic Party 91.1%Republican Party 9%
24h -0.5 pp24h Vol $1.4M100d left · Feb 1, 2027

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

Polymarket
Ethereum price reached in October 2026
↑ 2,500 44.5%Other outcomes
24h -1.0 pp24h Vol $88K8d left · Nov 1, 2026

Fed Decision in December?

Polymarket
Fed decision, December 2026
25 bps increase 74%No change 23% · 50+ bps increase 3%
24h +1.0 pp24h Vol $62K47d left

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Kalshi
US Senate control, 2026 election
Democratic Party 67%Republican Party 35%
24h -2.0 pp24h Vol $661K100d left · Feb 1, 2027

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Polymarket
2028 US presidential election winner
JD Vance 20.6%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12.7% · Gavin Newsom 9.7% · 15 other outcomes
24h +0.5 pp24h Vol $172K746d left · Nov 8, 2028

Ethereum price on October 24?

Polymarket
Ethereum price on October 24, 2026
2,300-2,400 85%2,400-2,500 13.5%
24h +47.5 pp24h Vol $17KDue today1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

Kalshi
2028 US presidential election winner
J.D. Vance 21%Gavin Newsom 13% · Marco Rubio 10% · 31 other outcomes
24h 0.0 pp24h Vol $702K1110d left · Nov 7, 2029

Bitcoin price on October 25?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price on October 25, 2026
80,000-82,000 69.5%78,000-80,000 17.2% · 82,000-84,000 8.5% · 86,000-88,000 1.2%
24h +29.5 pp24h Vol $8K1d left1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Kalshi
Fed decision, December 2026
Hike 25bps 72%Fed maintains rate 23% · Hike >25bps 5% · Cut >25bps 1% · Cut 25bps 1%
24h 0.0 pp24h Vol $15K46d left

What price will Bitcoin hit on October 24?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price reached on October 24, 2026
↓ 80,000 27.5%↑ 82,000 9% · ↓ 79,000 3.4% · ↓ 78,000 1.4%
24h —24h Vol $55KDue today

European Central Bank rate decision in October

Kalshi
ECB decision, October 2026
Maintain current rate 98%Hike 1-25bps 2% · Cut more than 25bps 1% · Cut 1-25bps 1% · Hike more than 25bps 1%
24h +1.0 pp24h Vol $4325d left

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Polymarket
ECB decision, October 2026
No change 98.4%25 bps increase 1.2%
24h +1.6 pp24h Vol $6K6d left

Fed Decision in January?

Polymarket
Fed decision, January 2027
No change 67.5%25 bps increase 28.5% · 50+ bps increase 1.3% · 25 bps decrease 1.1%
24h -0.5 pp24h Vol $6K96d left

Bitcoin price on October 27?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price on October 27, 2026
80,000-82,000 39%78,000-80,000 25% · 82,000-84,000 21.5% · 7 other outcomes
24h +10.5 pp24h Vol $2K3d left1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording