KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Oct 2, 2025
Current Hike 25bps
68%24h +17.0 pp · 24h Vol $2K · · 146d left
- Hike 25bps68%
- Fed maintains rate29%
- Cut 25bps2%
- Cut >25bps1%
- Hike >25bps1%
Path · Hike 25bps
Reading
On Kalshi, the implied probability for Hike 25bps on “Fed decision in Mar 2027?” moved +17.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 68%. 148d left. 24h evidence volume about $2K. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.
Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.