KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Oct 2, 2025

Fed decision in Mar 2027?

68%

Path · Hike 25bps

0%25%50%75%100%10/7/253/20/2610/15/26
Daily close 62% · Oct 15, 2026 · 301 bars. Latest stored probability is 68%, .

Reading

On Kalshi, the implied probability for Hike 25bps on “Fed decision in Mar 2027?” moved +17.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 68%. 148d left. 24h evidence volume about $2K. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on March 17, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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