KalshiChamber controlPoliticsListed Nov 6, 2024

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

68%

Path · Democratic Party

0%25%50%75%100%9/18/254/5/2610/22/26
Daily close 66% · Oct 22, 2026 · 400 bars. Latest stored probability is 68%, .

Reading

On Kalshi, the implied probability for Democratic Party on “Which party will win the U.S. Senate?” moved +1.0 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 68%. 101d left · Feb 1, 2027. 24h evidence volume about $542K. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Republican Party has won control of the U.S. Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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