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Contracts tracked for the listed subjects. Each row is the lead contract for one occurrence at one source; when that occurrence has more contracts, the row says 1 of N, each in its own wording. This is evidence, not the next-rewrite shortlist on the home page.
15 on this page.
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
KalshiFed maintains rate 87%Hike 25bps 12% · Cut >25bps 1% · Cut 25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
KalshiHike 25bps 74%Fed maintains rate 23% · Hike >25bps 5% · Cut >25bps 1% · Cut 25bps 1%
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 52%Hike 25bps 38% · Cut 25bps 3% · Hike >25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1%
CPI YoY in November
KalshiAbove 3.9% 45%Other outcomes · Above 3.3% (99%) is priced above Above 3.2% (98%)
Fed decision in Jul 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 77%Hike 25bps 15% · Cut 25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
European Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiMaintain current rate 96%Hike 1-25bps 3% · Cut more than 25bps 1% · Cut 1-25bps 1% · Hike more than 25bps 1%
Fed decision in Oct 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 88%Cut 25bps 10% · Cut >25bps 5% · Hike 25bps 2% · Hike >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 60%Hike 25bps 51% · Cut 25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
KalshiHike 25bps 68%Fed maintains rate 29% · Cut 25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
CPI YoY in December
KalshiAbove 3.9% 41%Other outcomes · Above 3.3% (96%) is priced above Above 3.2% (92%)
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 52%Cut 25bps 43% · Hike >25bps 3% · Hike 25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Sep 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 85%Hike 25bps 11% · Hike >25bps 6% · Cut 25bps 4% · Cut >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Jun 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 62%Hike 25bps 35% · Cut >25bps 6% · Cut 25bps 4% · Hike >25bps 3%
European Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiHike 1-25bps 80%Maintain current rate 18% · Hike more than 25bps 2% · Cut more than 25bps 1% · Cut 1-25bps 1%
Fed decision in Jan 2028?
KalshiFed maintains rate 62%Hike >25bps 22% · Cut 25bps 8% · Cut >25bps 4% · Hike 25bps 4%