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Contracts tracked for the listed subjects. Each row is the lead contract for one occurrence at one source; when that occurrence has more contracts, the row says 1 of N, each in its own wording. This is evidence, not the next-rewrite shortlist on the home page.
21 contract groups without a result · 20 on this page · more pages available, or narrow the query.
Fed Decision in October?
PolymarketNo change 93.5%25 bps increase 5.5%
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
KalshiFed maintains rate 94%Hike 25bps 6% · Cut >25bps 1% · Cut 25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
Fed Decision in December?
Polymarket25 bps increase 71.5%No change 23.5% · 50+ bps increase 2.9%
Fed Decision in January?
PolymarketNo change 67.5%25 bps increase 27.5% · 50+ bps increase 1.3%
Fed decision in Dec 2026?
KalshiHike 25bps 73%Fed maintains rate 25% · Hike >25bps 4% · Cut >25bps 1% · Cut 25bps 1%
Fed decision in Jan 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 60%Hike 25bps 30% · Cut 25bps 9% · Hike >25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Mar 2027?
KalshiHike 25bps 54%Cut 25bps 35% · Fed maintains rate 35% · Cut >25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
ECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketNo change 96.9%25 bps increase 3.2%
European Central Bank rate decision in October
KalshiMaintain current rate 97%Hike 1-25bps 3% · Cut more than 25bps 1% · Cut 1-25bps 1% · Hike more than 25bps 1%
CPI YoY in November
KalshiAbove 3.9% 47%Other outcomes · Above 3.3% (99%) is priced above Above 3.2% (98%)
CPI YoY in December
KalshiAbove 3.9% 41%Other outcomes · Above 3.3% (95%) is priced above Above 3.2% (92%)
European Central Bank rate decision in December
KalshiHike 1-25bps 79%Maintain current rate 20% · Cut more than 25bps 1% · Cut 1-25bps 1% · Hike more than 25bps 1%
Fed decision in Oct 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 81%Cut 25bps 7% · Hike 25bps 4% · Cut >25bps 2% · Hike >25bps 2%
Fed decision in Apr 2027?
KalshiHike 25bps 51%Other outcomes · Fed maintains rate (61%) is priced above Hike >25bps (1%)
Fed decision in Jul 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 77%Hike 25bps 15% · Cut >25bps 6% · Cut 25bps 5% · Hike >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Dec 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 58%Cut 25bps 25% · Hike 25bps 9% · Hike >25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1%
Fed decision in Sep 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 85%Hike 25bps 11% · Hike >25bps 6% · Cut 25bps 4% · Cut >25bps 1%
ECB Interest Rates: December 2026
Polymarket25 bps increase 80.5%No change 15% · 25 bps decrease 1.6% · 50+ bps increase 1.6% · 50+ bps decrease 1.3%
October Inflation US - Annual
Polymarket3.7% 86.5%3.8% 6.9% · 3.9% 4.2% · 4.0% 2.2%
Fed decision in Jun 2027?
KalshiFed maintains rate 62%Hike 25bps 35% · Cut >25bps 6% · Cut 25bps 4% · Hike >25bps 3%