PolymarketPresidential electionPoliticsListed Jul 8, 2025
Current JD Vance
20.6%24h +0.5 pp · 24h Vol $163K · · 746d left · Nov 8, 2028
- JD Vance20.6%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12.7%
- Gavin Newsom9.5%
- Jon Ossoff9.5%
- Marco Rubio8.9%
- Kamala Harris4.1%
- Josh Shapiro3%
- Pete Buttigieg2.8%
- Ron DeSantis2.6%
- Andy Beshear2.1%
- James Talarico1.8%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1.6%
- Tucker Carlson1.5%
- Donald Trump1.5%
- Mark Kelly1.4%
- Raphael Warnock1.2%
- Wes Moore1.1%
- Thomas Massie1.1%
Path · JD Vance
Reading
On Polymarket, the implied probability for JD Vance on “Presidential Election Winner 2028” moved +0.5 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 20.6%. 746d left · Nov 8, 2028. 24h evidence volume about $163K. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Official rules are on Polymarket. This page restates public source text. The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.