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Contracts tracked for the listed subjects. Each row is the lead contract for one occurrence at one source; when that occurrence has more contracts, the row says 1 of N, each in its own wording. This is evidence, not the next-rewrite shortlist on the home page.

European Central Bank rate decision in October

Kalshi
ECB decision, October 2026
Maintain current rate 96%Hike 1-25bps 6% · Cut more than 25bps 1% · Cut 1-25bps 1% · Hike more than 25bps 1%
24h +1.0 pp24h Vol $2525d left

2028 Presidential Election winner? (Party)

Kalshi
2028 US presidential election, winning party
Democratic party 59%Republican party 40%
24h 0.0 pp24h Vol $9921110d left · Nov 7, 2029

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

Polymarket
ECB decision, October 2026
No change 96.3%25 bps increase 3.5%
24h +0.1 pp24h Vol $11K6d left

Fed decision in Mar 2027?

Kalshi
Fed decision, March 2027
Hike 25bps 51%Fed maintains rate 28% · Cut 25bps 5% · Hike >25bps 3% · Cut >25bps 1%
24h -11.0 pp24h Vol $127144d left

Fed decision in Oct 2027?

Kalshi
Fed decision, October 2027
Fed maintains rate 81%Hike 25bps 12% · Cut 25bps 11% · Hike >25bps 10% · Cut >25bps 5%
24h 0.0 pp24h Vol $1K368d left

Ethereum price on October 21?

Polymarket
Ethereum price on October 21, 2026
Last 2,400-2,500 42.5%2,300-2,400 33.5% · 2,500-2,600 14.5% · 7 other outcomes
24h +5.0 pp24h Vol $6KThe dated horizon has passed1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Fed Decision in January?

Polymarket
Fed decision, January 2027
No change 62.5%25 bps increase 34.5% · 25 bps decrease 1.6% · 50+ bps increase 1.3%
24h —24h Vol $5K96d left

Fed decision in Jul 2027?

Kalshi
Fed decision, July 2027
Fed maintains rate 79%Hike 25bps 16% · Cut 25bps 6% · Cut >25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
24h -1.0 pp24h Vol $236277d left

Bitcoin price on October 22?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price on October 22, 2026
Last 82,000-84,000 30%80,000-82,000 27% · 84,000-86,000 17% · 8 other outcomes
24h +2.5 pp24h Vol $3KThe dated horizon has passed1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Bitcoin price on October 21?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price on October 21, 2026
Last 82,000-84,000 33.5%80,000-82,000 30.5% · 84,000-86,000 16% · 5 other outcomes
24h +1.5 pp24h Vol $3KThe dated horizon has passed1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

Kalshi
Fed decision, April 2027
Fed maintains rate 72%Hike 25bps 30% · Cut 25bps 6% · Cut >25bps 1% · Hike >25bps 1%
24h 0.0 pp24h Vol $313186d left

Ethereum price on October 23?

Polymarket
Ethereum price on October 23, 2026
Last 2,400-2,500 32.5%2,300-2,400 28% · 2,500-2,600 17% · 7 other outcomes
24h +2.5 pp24h Vol $3KThe dated horizon has passed1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Ethereum price on October 22?

Polymarket
Ethereum price on October 22, 2026
Last 2,400-2,500 35%2,300-2,400 30% · 2,500-2,600 16% · 7 other outcomes
24h +2.5 pp24h Vol $1KThe dated horizon has passed1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Bitcoin price on October 23?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price on October 23, 2026
Last 82,000-84,000 26.5%80,000-82,000 25% · 84,000-86,000 17% · 7 other outcomes
24h +1.5 pp24h Vol $1KThe dated horizon has passed1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

October Inflation US - Annual

Polymarket
US CPI YoY, October 2026
3.7% 81.5%3.8% 5.3% · 3.9% 3.9% · 4.0% 2.2%
24h -2.0 pp24h Vol $4K18d left · Nov 11, 2026

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Polymarket
2028 US presidential election, winning party
Democratic 63.5%Republican 34.5%
24h —24h Vol $20746d left · Nov 8, 2028

Fed decision in Sep 2027?

Kalshi
Fed decision, September 2027
Fed maintains rate 86%Hike 25bps 12% · Cut 25bps 4% · Hike >25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1%
24h 0.0 pp24h Vol $99326d left

Bitcoin price on October 24?

Polymarket
Bitcoin price on October 24, 2026
82,000-84,000 25%80,000-82,000 24% · 84,000-86,000 17% · 7 other outcomes
24h +1.5 pp24h Vol $835Due today1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Ethereum price on October 25?

Polymarket
Ethereum price on October 25, 2026
2,400-2,500 27%2,300-2,400 24.5% · 2,500-2,600 17% · 6 other outcomes
24h —24h Vol $1K1d left1 of 2 contracts, each in its own wording

Fed decision in Jan 2027?

Kalshi
Fed decision, January 2027
Fed maintains rate 63%Hike 25bps 33% · Cut 25bps 3% · Hike >25bps 2% · Cut >25bps 1%
24h 0.0 pp24h Vol $2495d left