European Central Bank
Facts and forecasts stay separate on this page. Nothing here is combined into one number.
Observed · FRED2.50%ECB deposit facility rate · Oct 23, 2026 · daily
Apr 27, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026 · daily
Later
ECB decision, December 202654d leftHike 1-25bps 79% 24h 0.0 ppKalshi · 2 sources ·Track record
ECB decision, September 2026
KalshiSettled as Hike 1-25bps · Sep 10, 2026PolymarketSettled as 25 bps increase · Sep 10, 2026Past settled state points for this subject. Each line is one contract: the price it had on the outcome that happened, at its last stored reading before close, and its realized outcome. Contracts are listed separately and not combined. Readings before close are stored from Sep 25, 2026; a line without a number shows the result only.