European Central Bank rate decision in July

• Maintain current rate99%
• Cut 1-25bps2%
• Hike 1-25bps2%
• Hike more than 25bps2%
• Cut more than 25bps1%

Path

Result

Settled as Maintain current rate · Jul 23, 2026. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Kalshi, “European Central Bank rate decision in July” settled as Maintain current rate · Jul 23, 2026. The last implied probability for Maintain current rate was about 99%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the European Central Bank takes the action of Maintain current rate at July ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.