European Central Bank rate decision in April

• Cut 1-25bps3%
• Hike 1-25bps1%
• Hike more than 25bps99%
• Cut more than 25bps5%
• Maintain current rate98%

Hike more than 25bps (99%) is priced above Hike 1-25bps (1%). These are the source's stored prices.

Path

Result

Settled as Maintain current rate · Apr 30, 2026. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Kalshi, “European Central Bank rate decision in April” settled as Maintain current rate · Apr 30, 2026. The last implied probability for Cut more than 25bps was about 5%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. 以 Kalshi 官方规则为准。本页仅作中文整理，规则译文生成中。