KalshiECB decisionMacroListed Dec 18, 2025
Last Maintain current rate
99%Expectation closed
- Maintain current rate99%
- Cut 1-25 basis points2%
- Hike more than 25bp1%
- Hike 1-25 basis points1%
- Cut more than 25bp1%
Path
Last stored probability only
Result
Settled as Maintain current rate · Feb 5, 2026. The expectation above is closed.
Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.
Reading
On Kalshi, “What will the European Central Bank do at the February ECB meeting?” settled as Maintain current rate · Feb 5, 2026. The last implied probability for Maintain current rate was about 99%. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.
Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. 以 Kalshi 官方规则为准。本页仅作中文整理,规则译文生成中。