European Central Bank rate decision in September

• Hike 1-25bps99%
• Cut more than 25bps1%
• Cut 1-25bps1%
• Maintain current rate1%
• Hike more than 25bps1%

Path

Result

Settled as Hike 1-25bps · Sep 10, 2026. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Kalshi, “European Central Bank rate decision in September” settled as Hike 1-25bps · Sep 10, 2026. The last implied probability for Hike 1-25bps was about 99%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the European Central Bank takes the action of Hike 1-25bps at September ECB Governing Council monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.