PolymarketPresidential electionPoliticsListed Jul 18, 2025

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

65.5%

Path

Current probability only

Reading

On Polymarket, the implied probability for Democratic on “Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?” moved +0.5 percentage points over 24 hours, and is now about 65.5%. 746d left · Nov 8, 2028. 24h evidence volume about $63. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Polymarket. This page restates public source text. The 2028 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2028 election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same party. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same party by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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