US Senate control, 2026 election
2 sources lead on the same outcome. Gap: 0.5 points. Polymarket 11d left · Nov 4, 2026 · Kalshi 100d left · Feb 1, 2027. Not combined.
Sources
PolymarketDemocratic Party · 67.5% 24h -1.0 pp · 11d left · Nov 4, 2026KalshiDemocratic Party · 67% 24h -2.0 pp · 100d left · Feb 1, 2027Each row is one source's own lead outcome. Figures are not combined.
Awaiting settlement
PolymarketDemocratic · 100% 24h 0.0 ppTrading has stopped. That is not a realized outcome.
Cite
US Senate control, 2026 election. Polymarket 67.5% for Democratic Party, 11d left · Nov 4, 2026. Kalshi 67% for Democratic Party, 100d left · Feb 1, 2027. 0.5 points apart. The gap is shown, not resolved. Each row is one source's own lead outcome. Figures are not combined. Public market data. Not investment advice.