Fed decision, October 2027
Kalshi: 77% for Fed maintains rate. 368d left.
Source
| Outcome | Kalshi · 24h -9.0 pp · Fed maintains rate · 368d left |
|---|---|
| Maintain | 77%Fed maintains rate |
| Hike 25bps | 4%Hike 25bps |
| Hike >25bps | 2%Hike >25bps |
| Cut 25bps | 7%Cut 25bps |
| Cut >25bps | 2%Cut >25bps |
Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome.
Observed
3.88%Effective federal funds rate · Oct 21, 2026 · daily · FRED ·
A public series for this subject. Not an implied probability, and not combined with the rows above.
Cite
Fed decision, October 2027. Kalshi 77% for Fed maintains rate, 368d left. Hike 25bps 4%. Hike >25bps 2%. Cut 25bps 7%. Cut >25bps 2%. Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome. Public market data. Not investment advice.