Fed decision in Sep 2026?

• Hike 25bps88%
• Fed maintains rate12%
• Cut >25bps1%
• Cut 25bps1%
• Hike >25bps1%

Path

Result

Settled as Hike 25bps · Sep 16, 2026. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Kalshi, “Fed decision in Sep 2026?” settled as Hike 25bps · Sep 16, 2026. The last implied probability for Hike 25bps was about 88%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.