Fed decision, September 2026
Kalshi: Settled as Hike 25bps · Sep 16, 2026 · Polymarket: Settled as 25 bps increase · Sep 16, 2026
After settlement
KalshiSettled as Hike 25bps · Sep 16, 2026PolymarketSettled as 25 bps increase · Sep 16, 2026Each line is one source: the price it had on the outcome that happened, at its last stored reading before close, and its own result. This page does not pick a winner. Readings before close are stored from Sep 25, 2026; a line without a number shows the result only.
Observed
3.88%Effective federal funds rate · Sep 17, 2026 · daily · FRED · for this state point ·
A public series for this subject. Not an implied probability, and not combined with the rows above.
Cite
Fed decision, September 2026: Kalshi settled as Hike 25bps · Sep 16, 2026; Polymarket settled as 25 bps increase · Sep 16, 2026. Each line is one source. Public market data. Not investment advice.