KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Aug 4, 2025
Last Cut 25bps
97%Expectation closed
- Cut 25bps97%
- Fed maintains rate3%
- Hike >25bps1%
- Hike 25bps1%
- Cut >25bps1%
Path
Last stored probability only
Result
Settled as Cut 25bps · Dec 10, 2025. The expectation above is closed.
Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.
Reading
On Kalshi, “Fed decision in Dec 2025?” settled as Cut 25bps · Dec 10, 2025. The last implied probability for Cut 25bps was about 97%. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.
Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. 以 Kalshi 官方规则为准。本页仅作中文整理,规则译文生成中。