Fed decision, December 2025
Kalshi: Settled as Cut 25bps · Dec 10, 2025 · Polymarket: Settled as 25 bps decrease · Dec 10, 2025
After settlement
KalshiSettled as Cut 25bps · Dec 10, 2025PolymarketSettled as 25 bps decrease · Dec 10, 2025Each line is one source: the price it had on the outcome that happened, at its last stored reading before close, and its own result. This page does not pick a winner. Readings before close are stored from Sep 25, 2026; a line without a number shows the result only.
Observed
3.64%Effective federal funds rate · Apr 25, 2026 · daily · FRED · for this state point ·
A public series for this subject. Not an implied probability, and not combined with the rows above.
Cite
Fed decision, December 2025: Kalshi settled as Cut 25bps · Dec 10, 2025; Polymarket settled as 25 bps decrease · Dec 10, 2025. Each line is one source. Public market data. Not investment advice.