PolymarketECB decisionPoliticsListed Oct 23, 2024
Last 25 bps decrease
100%Expectation closed
- 25 bps decrease100%
- No Change0%
- 50 bps decrease0%
- >50 bps decrease0%
- Increase0%
Path
Last stored probability only
Result
Settled as 25 bps decrease · Dec 12, 2024. The expectation above is closed.
Realization from Polymarket settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.
Reading
On Polymarket, “ECB Interest Rates: December 2024” settled as 25 bps decrease · Dec 12, 2024. The last implied probability for 25 bps decrease was about 100%. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Official rules are on Polymarket. This page restates public source text. This is a negrisk market group over how much the European Central Bank will cut interest rates on their meeting scheduled for December 12, 2024.