Fed decision in July?

• Fed maintains rate82%
• Hike 25bps18%
• Cut >25bps1%
• Cut 25bps1%
• Hike >25bps1%

Path

Result

Settled as Fed maintains rate · Jul 29, 2026. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Kalshi, “Fed decision in July?” settled as Fed maintains rate · Jul 29, 2026. The last implied probability for Fed maintains rate was about 82%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 0bps on July 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.