Fed decision in Dec 2024?

• Cut 25bps97%
• No cut/hike3%
• Hike >25bps1%
• Hike 25bps1%
• Cut >25bps1%

Path

Result

Settled as Cut 25bps · Dec 18, 2024. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Kalshi, “Fed decision in Dec 2024?” settled as Cut 25bps · Dec 18, 2024. The last implied probability for Cut 25bps was about 97%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. 以 Kalshi 官方规则为准。本页仅作中文整理，规则译文生成中。