KalshiFOMC decisionMacroListed Apr 7, 2023
Last Hike 25bps
95%Expectation closed
- Hike 25bps95%
- No change6%
- Hike 50bps1%
- Cut >25bps1%
- Cut 25bps1%
- Hike >50bps0.5%
Path
Last stored probability only
Result
Settled as Hike 25bps · May 3, 2023. The expectation above is closed.
Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.
Reading
On Kalshi, “Fed meeting in May 2023?” settled as Hike 25bps · May 3, 2023. The last implied probability for Hike 25bps was about 95%. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.
Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. 以 Kalshi 官方规则为准。本页仅作中文整理,规则译文生成中。