Fed decision, January 2028
Kalshi: 62% for Fed maintains rate. 460d left.
Source
| Outcome | Kalshi · 24h 0.0 pp · Fed maintains rate · 460d left |
|---|---|
| Maintain | 62%Fed maintains rate |
| Hike 25bps | 4%Hike 25bps |
| Hike >25bps | 22%Hike >25bps |
| Cut 25bps | 8%Cut 25bps |
| Cut >25bps | 4%Cut >25bps |
Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome.
Observed
3.88%Effective federal funds rate · Oct 21, 2026 · daily · FRED ·
A public series for this subject. Not an implied probability, and not combined with the rows above.
Cite
Fed decision, January 2028. Kalshi 62% for Fed maintains rate, 460d left. Hike 25bps 4%. Hike >25bps 22%. Cut 25bps 8%. Cut >25bps 4%. Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome. Public market data. Not investment advice.