Fed decision, December 2027
Kalshi: 58% for Fed maintains rate. 410d left.
Source
| Outcome | Kalshi · 24h +5.0 pp · Fed maintains rate · 410d left |
|---|---|
| Maintain | 58%Fed maintains rate |
| Hike 25bps | 3%Hike 25bps |
| Hike >25bps | 2%Hike >25bps |
| Cut 25bps | 25%Cut 25bps |
| Cut >25bps | 1%Cut >25bps |
Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome.
Observed
3.88%Effective federal funds rate · Oct 21, 2026 · daily · FRED ·
A public series for this subject. Not an implied probability, and not combined with the rows above.
Cite
Fed decision, December 2027. Kalshi 58% for Fed maintains rate, 410d left. Hike 25bps 3%. Hike >25bps 2%. Cut 25bps 25%. Cut >25bps 1%. Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome. Public market data. Not investment advice.