Fed decision, September 2027
Kalshi: 85% for Fed maintains rate. 326d left.
Source
| Outcome | Kalshi · 24h 0.0 pp · Fed maintains rate · 326d left |
|---|---|
| Maintain | 85%Fed maintains rate |
| Hike 25bps | 11%Hike 25bps |
| Hike >25bps | 6%Hike >25bps |
| Cut 25bps | 4%Cut 25bps |
| Cut >25bps | 1%Cut >25bps |
Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome.
Observed
3.88%Effective federal funds rate · Oct 21, 2026 · daily · FRED ·
A public series for this subject. Not an implied probability, and not combined with the rows above.
Cite
Fed decision, September 2027. Kalshi 85% for Fed maintains rate, 326d left. Hike 25bps 11%. Hike >25bps 6%. Cut 25bps 4%. Cut >25bps 1%. Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome. Public market data. Not investment advice.