ECB decision, March 2027
Polymarket: 48.5% for 50+ bps decrease. 139d left.
Source
| Outcome | Polymarket · 24h — · 139d left |
|---|---|
| Maintain | 48.5%No Change |
| Hike 25bps | 48.5%25 bps increase |
| Hike >25bps | 48.5%50+ bps increase |
| Cut 25bps | 48.5%25 bps decrease |
| Cut >25bps | 48.5%50+ bps decrease |
Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome.
Observed
2.50%ECB deposit facility rate · Oct 29, 2026 · daily · FRED ·
A public series for this subject. Not an implied probability, and not combined with the rows above.
Cite
ECB decision, March 2027. Polymarket 48.5% for 50+ bps decrease, 139d left. Maintain 48.5%. Hike 25bps 48.5%. Hike >25bps 48.5%. Cut 25bps 48.5%. Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome. Public market data. Not investment advice.