ECB decision, February 2027
Polymarket: 48.5% for 50+ bps decrease. 97d left.
Source
| Outcome | Polymarket · 24h — · 97d left |
|---|---|
| Maintain | 75%No Change |
| Hike 25bps | 23.5%25 bps increase |
| Hike >25bps | 24.5%50+ bps increase |
| Cut 25bps | 8.5%25 bps decrease |
| Cut >25bps | 48.5%50+ bps decrease |
Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome.
Observed
2.50%ECB deposit facility rate · Oct 29, 2026 · daily · FRED ·
A public series for this subject. Not an implied probability, and not combined with the rows above.
Cite
ECB decision, February 2027. Polymarket 48.5% for 50+ bps decrease, 97d left. Maintain 75%. Hike 25bps 23.5%. Hike >25bps 24.5%. Cut 25bps 8.5%. Each cell is that source's own price for this outcome. Public market data. Not investment advice.