Path
Result
Settled as No · Apr 14, 2022. The expectation above is closed.
Realization from Polymarket settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.
Reading
On Polymarket, “Will the price of Bitcoin (BTC) be above $46,000 on April 14?” settled as No · Apr 14, 2022. The last implied probability for Yes was about 0%. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Official rules are on Polymarket. This page restates public source text. This is a market on if the price of 1 BTC will be above $46,000 in USD on April 14, 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Bitcoin ($BTC) has a candlestick closing price of $46,000.01 or more, as per the resolution source, on April 14, 2022, 12pm ET, and “No” otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be prices listed on CoinGecko (https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin). This market will resolve according to the “C” (i.e. closing price) listed for the candle titled “Thu 14 April 2022, 12:00:00”, with the “Price” tab selected, in the Eastern Time Zone. Note, this 12:00:00 candle lists the opening price for 11:30:00 AM ET and the closing price for 12:00:00 PM ET. The check will be at 12:30 PM ET, April 14, 2022.