Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

• Republican100%
• Democratic0%

Path

Result

Settled as Republican · Nov 8, 2024. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Polymarket settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Polymarket, “Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?” settled as Republican · Nov 8, 2024. The last implied probability for Republican was about 100%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Polymarket. This page restates public source text. The 2024 United States presidential election will be held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024. This market will resolve to the political party whose candidate is elected the next President of the United States in the 2024 election. The main resolution sources for this market will be (https://www.archives.gov/electoral-college/results), (http://whitehouse.gov/) and (https://www.fec.gov/). Further official, judicial or other relevant announcements, reports or decisions may also be considered to resolve any ambiguity or uncertainty before the market is settled. If another party wins other than Democratic or Republican, the market will resolve 50/50.