PolymarketPresidential electionPoliticsListed Jan 4, 2024
Last Donald Trump
100%Expectation closed
- Donald Trump100%
- Joe Biden0%
- Nikki Haley0%
- Gavin Newsom0%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.0%
- Ron DeSantis0%
- Vivek Ramaswamy0%
- Kamala Harris0%
- Michelle Obama0%
- Hillary Clinton0%
- Chris Christie0%
- Elizabeth Warren0%
- Bernie Sanders0%
- AOC0%
- Other Democrat Politician0%
- Other Republican Politician0%
- Kanye0%
Path
Last stored probability only
Result
Settled as Donald Trump · Nov 5, 2024. The expectation above is closed.
Realization from Polymarket settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.
Reading
On Polymarket, “Presidential Election Winner 2024” settled as Donald Trump · Nov 5, 2024. The last implied probability for Donald Trump was about 100%. Public market data. Not investment advice.
Rules
Official rules are on Polymarket. This page restates public source text. This is a market on predicting the winner of the 2024 presidential election.