House control after 2024 election?

• Republican100%
• Democratic0%

Path

Result

Settled as Republican · Nov 5, 2024. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Polymarket settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Polymarket, “House control after 2024 election?” settled as Republican · Nov 5, 2024. The last implied probability for Republican was about 100%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Polymarket. This page restates public source text. The 2024 United States House elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with all 435 seats in the House being contested. This market will resolve to "Democratic" if following the 2024 U.S. House elections, the majority of voting House members are Democrats. It will resolve to "Republican" under the same conditions for Republicans. A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party. If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the US House is selected following the 2024 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with / intends to caucus with at the time of their election to that position. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2024 US House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2024 election results.