April Inflation US - Annual

• 3.8%100%
• ≤3.1%0%
• 3.2%0%
• 3.3%0%
• 3.4%0%
• 3.5%0%
• 3.6%0%
• 3.7%0%
• 3.9%0%
• 4.0%0%
• ≥4.1%0%

Path

Result

Settled as 3.8% · May 12, 2026. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Polymarket settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Polymarket, “April Inflation US - Annual” settled as 3.8% · May 12, 2026. The last implied probability for 3.8% was about 100%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Official rules are on Polymarket. This page restates public source text. This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending April 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in April 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for April 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on May 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.