Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)

• Above 3.0%99%
• Above 3.1%99%
• Above 3.2%90%
• Above 3.3%51%
• Above 3.4%21%
• Above 3.5%3%
• Above 3.6%1%
• Above 3.7%3%
• Above 3.8%2%
• Above 3.9%1%
• Above 4.0%1%
• Above 4.1%2%
• Above 4.2%1%
• Above 4.3%1%
• Above 4.4%1%
• Above 4.5%1%
• Above 4.6%1%
• Above 4.7%1%
• Above 4.8%1%
• Above 4.9%7%
• Above 5.0%1%

Above 3.7% (3%) is priced above Above 3.6% (1%). These are the source's stored prices.

Path

Result

Settled as Above 3.3% · Aug 12, 2026. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Kalshi, “Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)” settled as Above 3.3% · Aug 12, 2026. The last implied probability for Above 3.3% was about 51%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.0% in the twelve months ending July 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.