Inflation in Jan 2024?

• Above 2.8%91%
• Above 2.9%65%
• Above 3.0%12%
• Above 3.1%5%
• Above 3.2%3%
• Above 3.3%3%
• Above 3.4%1.5%
• Above 3.5%1.5%
• Above 3.6%1.5%
• Above 3.7%5%

Above 3.7% (5%) is priced above Above 3.6% (1.5%). These are the source's stored prices.

Path

Result

Settled as Above 3.0% · Feb 13, 2024. The expectation above is closed.

Realization from Kalshi settlement fields, not from the contract merely being closed.

Reading

On Kalshi, “Inflation in Jan 2024?” settled as Above 3.0% · Feb 13, 2024. The last implied probability for Above 2.9% was about 65%. Public market data. Not investment advice.

Rules

Kalshi writes one rule per outcome; the text below is one of them.

Official rules are on Kalshi. This page restates public source text. 以 Kalshi 官方规则为准。本页仅作中文整理，规则译文生成中。